Residential recovery sluggish in first quarter of 2024

Residential recovery sluggish in first quarter of 2024

0 개 627 KoreaPost

Residential property values have continued to gently rise and fall throughout the first quarter of 2024, amidst a glut of listings and an ongoing dearth of sales across much of New Zealand Aotearoa.

The latest QV House Price Index for March shows the average home value has increased nationally by 2.2% to $924,734 over the first three months of 2024 – a small increase on the 1.3% quarterly home value increase reported at the end of February. The average home value is now 1.9% higher than the same time last year and 13.1% below the market's peak in late 2021.

Of the main urban areas we monitor, Queenstown experienced the most growth this quarter at 2.7%, with Wellington and Christchurch not far behind on 2% and 1.5% respectively. However, all three experienced less growth in this rolling three-month period than last, with Auckland (-0.2%) even experiencing a modest average decline for the second straight month.




QV operations manager James Wilson commented: "'Flat' remains the word of the year so far when it comes to the current state of New Zealand's residential property market. We're seeing only modest movement across the nation – mostly up, but some down – which is a fair reflection of a housing market that is continuing to find its footing again amidst some pretty strong economic headwinds. 

"Although the pendulum has clearly swung in favour of prospective purchasers, with a relatively large number of properties on the market today giving them plenty of choice and helping to maintain downward pressure on prices overall, interest rates and credit constraints are continuing to make life very difficult for everyone."

Despite a modest increase in the average rate of home value growth nationally, just three main urban areas recorded more growth in this QV House Price Index than in the last one – New Plymouth (2.1%), Palmerston North (0.6%) and Invercargill (0.7%).

"The recent influx of new listings on the market appears to have had more of a cooling effect within the main centres so far – most notably in Auckland, where home values have largely stalled in recent months. I expect to see this trend continue here and in some of our other larger cities over the next few months," Mr Wilson said.

"Immigration is helping to fuel demand, so it's still unlikely that we'll see any strong value declines as we now start to move into the cooler months of the year. Of course, it's also equally unlikely that we'll see any sudden strong home value growth. Once again, 'flat' is the best word to describe the market today and its trajectory, even with the recent reintroduction of 80% interest deductibility for landlords." 


6e529aecefa123af7236e31c62f8f025_1712624100_3496.jpg
 

Download a high resolution version of the latest QV value map here.

Northland

Home values are up across the wider Northland region by an average of 1.4% this quarter.

The average home value in Whangarei reduced by 0.2% to $734,482 in the three months to the end of March 2024, but is still 26.5% higher than it was four years ago at the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic in this country.

Meanwhile, the average home value in Far North District increased by 4.4% this quarter to $726,943, and it increased by just 0.1% to $861,912 in Kaipara. 

Auckland

Auckland has posted a small reduction in average home value for the second month in a row.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the average home value decreased across the wider Auckland region by 0.2% to $1,283,155 in the March quarter, compared to a 0.1% average reduction recorded in the February quarter.



Of the Super City's seven former territorial authorities, only Rodney (2.2%) and Franklin (3.2%) were in the red this quarter, with home values on the North Shore experiencing the largest average reduction at 1.6% for the March quarter. 

The average home value in Auckland is still 1.1% higher than the same time last year, and 17.5% higher than at the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand Aotearoa four years ago. 

Tauranga

The average rate of home value growth has slowed in Tauranga.

The city was one of the outliers in the previous QV House Price Index with average home value growth of 3.1% in the February quarter. In the latest index, that average rate of growth has slowed to just 0.5% throughout the March quarter.

Tauranga's average home value is now $1,041,157, which is 1.3% higher than the same time last year and 31.2% higher than at the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand Aotearoa back in March 2020. 

Waikato

Home value growth remains sluggish but largely positive across the broader Waikato region.

The latest QV House Price Index shows home values increased by an average of 0.7% across the Waikato region in the March 2024 quarter, with only Otorohanga (-0.8%) and Hamilton (-0.1%) experiencing small reductions on average.

The average value of a home in Hamilton is now 0.9% higher than the same time last year, and 22.1% higher than at the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand Aotearoa in March 2020.  

Taranaki

The latest housing figures look far more robust in Taranaki this quarter than in many other regions of New Zealand Aotearoa. 

The latest QV House Price Index shows the average home value increased in New Plymouth by 2.1% to $721,558 this quarter. That figure is now 0.5% higher than the same time last year, and 40.6% higher than at the same time four years ago, at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in this country.

Meanwhile, the average home value has also climbed 1.9% to $452,980 in South Taranaki this quarter, and climbed 3.9% to $505,867 in Stratford. 

Hawke's Bay

It was another mixed bag across the Hawke's Bay region this quarter.

Residential property values reduced across the wider Hawke's Bay region by an average of 0.3% this quarter, with the average home in Napier increasing by 0.6% to $757,904 but falling 1.4% in neighbouring Hastings to $781,697.

QV Hawke's Bay manager Damian Hall commented: "The market is very flat here with a significant increase in listings over the past couple of months. As a result, buyers are in no rush as there are plenty of homes to choose from. Banks are still making it difficult to borrow, despite some of the major banks reducing their rates slightly."

"It looks like we might be in for a quiet winter," he added.

Palmerston North

Property values continue to edge upward in Palmerston North.

The average home increased in value by 0.6% to $646,150 this quarter – up slightly on the 0.5% quarterly growth recorded in the previous QV House Price Index. That figure is now 2.4% higher than at the end of March last year.

Local QV registered valuer Olivia Betts said home values had risen by an average of 3% in the past six months. "We would anticipate that this trend will continue – though possibly at an even slower rate."

"We're seeing a higher level of listings as agents aim to get their properties under contract before winter, which is historically a time where the market slows down," she added.

Wellington

Wellington's average rate of home value growth has slowed once more.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the region's average home value increased by 2% to $875,392 throughout the March 2024 quarter – a slight reduction on the 2.5% average growth reported for the February quarter. 

Once again, Kapiti (5%) has recorded the largest average increase in home value, followed by Upper Hutt (3.8%). Home values also increased on average in Wellington City (1.9%), Porirua (0.7%) and Hutt City (0.4%) but at a slower rate than the national average (2.2%).

QV senior consultant Blake Ngarimu commented: "Material value growth is being dampened by a healthy number of listings and high interest rates. The market continues to be dominated by first-home buyers trying to get into the market while values across the Wellington region are more affordable."

Nelson

The average home value in Nelson has done little better than break even throughout the first quarter of 2024.

The QV House Price Index for March shows that the average home value has increased by 0.2% so far this year to $778,913 – down from the 1.2% average rate of quarterly home value growth reported in our February index.

Though stock levels remained high, local QV registered valuer Jane Simpson said there was currently only a relatively modest amount of investor activity in Nelson and Tasman. "Owner-occupiers are still the most active group in Nelson and Tasman today, with first-home buyers still very activity as well."

"The market for residential properties priced between $800,000 and $950,000 remains steady. Properties in the higher price brackets are being negatively impacted by high interest rates, tight lending and the high cost of living."

West Coast

Property values continue to grow at relatively rapid rate on the West Coast – with one exception this quarter.

Low sales volumes are still causing home value levels to fluctuate locally, with the average home value in both Buller and Grey District surging ahead by 7.4% and 7.8% respectively this quarter. Westland, meanwhile, experienced far more muted growth of 1.5%.

But even on an annualised basis, with a larger sample of sales evidence, the average home value in Grey District is 19.3% higher than the same time last year. In Buller, the average home value is 9% higher, and it's 1.1% higher in Westland. 

The average home value is $371,150 in Buller, $419,044 in Grey, and $448,026 in Westland.

Canterbury

The average rate of home value growth has slowed once more in Canterbury.

The latest QV House Price Index shows residential property values increased across the overall Canterbury region as a whole by 1.4% this quarter, which is down on the 2% growth on the quarter to the end of February, and 2.9% for the quarter to end of January. Annually, the average home value is 3.1% higher than at the same time last year.



In Christchurch, the average home value has increased by 1.5% to $763,993 this quarter, which is down on the 2.4% growth recorded for the quarter to the end of February. The city's annual growth is shown as 3%.

In the wider Christchurch region, Selwyn District recorded an average quarterly increase of 0.6% and an average value of $834,522, down slightly on the 0.8% growth recorded in the February quarter. Growth in the Waimakariri District has also levelled out at 0.2% for the quarter and an average value of $714,072, down on the 1.3% quarterly growth recorded in the previous index.

Local QV registered valuer Rod Thornton commented: "We are seeing a reduction in construction actively and reported higher listings, with the high cost of living now appearing to be hitting harder and interest rates still high on the previous low levels that many buyers initially purchased on. While we cannot absolutely predict what the next few months will bring, signs are there may be some further slowing of the market and downward pressure on values." 

Otago

Residential property values have increased by an average of 2.3% this quarter in Otago.

It is a slower rate of quarterly home value growth than the 3.4% reported in our previous QV House Price Index, with every territorial authority recording less positive growth in this month's index compared to last.

Waitaki (3.6%) experienced the largest amount of home value growth in the region this quarter; Central Otago (1%) experienced the least. 

The average home value in Dunedin increased by 1.3% to $635,474, which is 0.3% higher than the same time last year. It is the first time the city's average home value has been up on an annualised basis since June 2022.

Local QV registered valuer Rebecca Johnston commented: "Dunedin's number of properties listed for sale has continued to rise into March, with the days to sell also on the increase compared to late last year. This highlights a loosening of supply versus demand, with it being firmly a buyers' market." 

"However, real estate agents are reporting open home attendance dropping away and a reduction in multi-offer situations. This is to be expected due to the tapering off of the selling season," she added.

Queenstown

Queenstown's average rate of home value growth slowed this month.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the average home value increased by 2.7% this quarter to $1,826,238, down from a three-month rolling average of 4.2% in the previous index. 

The average Queenstown home is worth 9.9% more than at the same time last year, and 46.3% more than four years ago at the outset of the Covid-19 pandemic in New Zealand Aotearoa.

Invercargill

Invercargill was one of the few main urban centres to record more home value growth in this index when compared to last.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the city's average home value increased by 0.7% throughout the three months to the end of March – a reversal of the 0.5% reduction recorded throughout the three months to the end of February.

Invercargill's average home value is $480,637, which is 6.3% higher than the same time last year.

QV registered valuer Andrew Ronald commented: "The latest figures indicate a continued strengthening in market conditions. There is healthy demand from first-home buyers, and investors are beginning to return to the market with the restoration of interest tax deductibility rules over the next two years."


source: QV

Conflicting forces to shape New Zealand's pro…

댓글 0 | 조회 400 | 3일전
New Zealand's property market is approaching 2025 with a mix of challenges and opportunities, as lower mortgage rates contend with stretched affordabi… 더보기

Home values rise in November quarter − but on…

댓글 0 | 조회 749 | 2024.12.10
The housing market is on track for its flattest calendar year in more than a decade, despite a modicum of growth this quarter.The latest QV House Pric… 더보기

'Holding pattern' continues for property valu…

댓글 0 | 조회 250 | 2024.12.05
Property values in Aotearoa New Zealand fell 0.4% in November, marking the ninth consecutive decline, according to CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Inde… 더보기

Lower Waihao Nitrate Update - CEASE WATER CON…

댓글 0 | 조회 148 | 2024.12.02
Nitrates levels within Lower Waihao Rural Water Supply (inc. Waikakahi East) have breached the maximum accepted value (MAV) for nitrates. All consumer… 더보기

Desert Road closure now from mid-January

댓글 0 | 조회 261 | 2024.11.29
State Highway 1 Tūrangi to Waiouru – including the Desert Road – will be closed for vital road rebuilding and repairs for around 2 months from Monday … 더보기

OCR cut again and more to come

댓글 0 | 조회 1,137 | 2024.11.27
Commentary from Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistThe financial markets and bank economists were unanimous in expecting the Reserv… 더보기

Youth vaping rates drop, but 'cannot take our…

댓글 0 | 조회 267 | 2024.11.25
Overall youth vaping rates in New Zealand have dropped more than 50 per cent over the past three years, a new survey shows.The 2024 ARFNZ/SPANZ/NZAIMS… 더보기

Report shows challenging future for children …

댓글 0 | 조회 398 | 2024.11.22
The future of childhood hangs in the balance for millions of children if urgent action is not taken now to safeguard their rights in a changing world,… 더보기

Farmers Santa Parade, supported by the city c…

댓글 0 | 조회 647 | 2024.11.22
Two symbolic characters at the centre of Auckland’s historic Farmers Santa Parade are turning out for the 91st time, delighting families who will fill… 더보기

Investors on the rebound and first home buyer…

댓글 0 | 조회 580 | 2024.11.21
New Zealand's property market continues to present mixed signals, with sales volumes rising yet the overall level of activity remaining subdued, with … 더보기

NZ Compare Awards 2024 Finalists Announced

댓글 0 | 조회 317 | 2024.11.20
The NZ Compare Awards 2024 are here, and last night, our star-studded finalists were announced at our Finalists Event - an event of connecting and cel… 더보기

More property sellers face losses amidst weak…

댓글 0 | 조회 826 | 2024.11.14
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistNew Zealand's property market remains subdued, with a rising share of sellers incurring losse… 더보기

99,000 children in persistent poverty

댓글 0 | 조회 556 | 2024.11.12
98,900 children in Aotearoa New Zealand are living in persistent poverty. This is according to thenewly released official Statistics NZ definitionfor … 더보기

First Home Buyers capitalise on soft market

댓글 0 | 조회 606 | 2024.11.07
First home buyers (FHBs) remain a key presence in the property market, consistently accounting for more than one quarter (27%) of purchases, comfortab… 더보기

Slowing rate of decline signals potential val…

댓글 0 | 조회 664 | 2024.11.01
Property values in New Zealand fell -0.5% in October according to CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Index (HVI) - the eighth drop in a row - taking the t… 더보기

Investors take a fresh look at the NZ propert…

댓글 0 | 조회 723 | 2024.10.24
Mortgaged multiple property owners (MPOs) remain less active than usual, but there are early signs that some are starting to return – a signal that 'm… 더보기

NZ construction costs show minor uptick amids…

댓글 0 | 조회 511 | 2024.10.16
Tax changes, high levels of existing stock on the market, and credit-constrained buyers have compounded the building industry slowdown, holding constr… 더보기

OCR down again as mortgage rates set to keep …

댓글 0 | 조회 822 | 2024.10.09
Commentary from Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistLeading up to today's official cash rate decision, there were equally strong cas… 더보기

Spring marks subtle shift in market condition…

댓글 0 | 조회 315 | 2024.10.08
Spring has sprung, but green shoots of growth remain scarce across New Zealand Aotearoa's housing market – for the time being.Our latest QV House Pric… 더보기

Rate cuts haven't pumped up house prices yet

댓글 0 | 조회 455 | 2024.10.03
CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Index (HVI) showed another subdued month for the property market in September,with values down by a further 0.5%. That … 더보기

Minister of Health announcement on Fetal Alco…

댓글 0 | 조회 580 | 2024.09.26
The Minister of Health Hon Dr Shane Retiaddressedthe FASD Symposium in Auckland today and announced a further $4.85 million dollar investment in the F… 더보기

Where are Aotearoa NZ's $1 million+ housing m…

댓글 0 | 조회 735 | 2024.09.25
By Nick Goodall, CoreLogic NZHead of Research$1 million isn't what it used to be when it comes to owning property. That being said the $1 million figu… 더보기

5 of the best ways to enjoy spring in Aucklan…

댓글 0 | 조회 415 | 2024.09.24
Tāmaki Makaurau is one of the first parts of Aotearoa to enjoy spring. Whether you believe that the season kicks off on the meteorological start date … 더보기

Property sales slowly rising heading into spr…

댓글 0 | 조회 496 | 2024.09.19
With the spring selling season on the horizon New Zealand property sales continue their upward trend, however buyers remain in control with sales volu… 더보기

Local alcohol policy: Freeze on new liquor st…

댓글 0 | 조회 340 | 2024.09.16
From today (Monday 16 September)24 areas,including Auckland’s city centre, will be subject to a freeze on the opening of new off-licences as Auckland’… 더보기

Property sector: New Zealand's economic power…

댓글 0 | 조회 457 | 2024.09.12
WELLINGTON, NEW ZEALAND -Property continues to hold the title of New Zealand's largest industry, according to new insights from Property Council New Z… 더보기

Housing market still flat despite interest ra…

댓글 0 | 조회 384 | 2024.09.10
House prices do not yet reflect the marked increase in consumer confidence following recent interest rate cuts.On the contrary, our latest QV House Pr… 더보기

Lower interest rates may take time to ripple …

댓글 0 | 조회 611 | 2024.09.05
CoreLogic's Home Value Index (HVI) showed that the property market remained weak in August, with values down by another 0.5%.That was the sixth consec… 더보기

Low deposit mortgages help fuel first home bu…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,269 | 2024.08.22
First home buyers (FHBs) continue to maintain near-record market share even as they battle affordability constraints, according toCoreLogic's August H… 더보기

Affordability challenges persist despite soft…

댓글 0 | 조회 397 | 2024.08.14
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistSome housing affordability metrics, such as the time needed to save a deposit, are at their l… 더보기

Frigid housing market's winter blues continue…

댓글 0 | 조회 425 | 2024.08.13
Residential property values are slowly buckling under the strain of the ongoing economic downturn, with just three of New Zealand's main urban areas r… 더보기

Resale profits decline as buyer bargaining po…

댓글 0 | 조회 322 | 2024.08.08
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistThe New Zealand property market continues to shift in favour of buyers as the proportion of p… 더보기

Rising Confidence Attracts Buyers To Auckland…

댓글 0 | 조회 700 | 2024.08.05
A significant number of buyers were drawn into the Auckland residential housing market in July attracted by growing confidence that interest rates hav… 더보기

Property values down 2.5% from cyclical peak

댓글 0 | 조회 983 | 2024.08.01
CoreLogic's updated, hedonic Home Value Index (HVI)showed a 0.5% fall in values across NZ in July - the fifth monthly fall in a row - taking the total… 더보기

New research from CPAG reveals renting is inc…

댓글 0 | 조회 736 | 2024.07.31
The Child Poverty Action Group (CPAG) is calling for better monitoring of housing stock, particularly private rentals, asnew researchreveals the share… 더보기

Average Auckland rent continues rise above 5%…

댓글 0 | 조회 712 | 2024.07.24
The average weekly rent paid in Auckland was 5.59% higher in June 2024 than one year ago, rising by $35.91 to $678.30.The statistics are drawn from mo… 더보기

Governor-General at the Paris 2024 Olympic Ga…

댓글 0 | 조회 417 | 2024.07.22
As Patron of the New Zealand Olympic Committee, the Governor-General, The Rt Hon Dame Cindy Kiro leaves New Zealand today to travel to Paris, where sh… 더보기

Sale volumes drop in June, but first home buy…

댓글 0 | 조회 681 | 2024.07.19
As high mortgage rates continue to dampen buyer demand in New Zealand's housing market, residential property sales weakened in June, after a 13-month … 더보기

Raft of policy changes unlikely to shift subd…

댓글 0 | 조회 390 | 2024.07.05
Amidst a raft of policy changes, the renewed weakness in Aotearoa New Zealand's home values continued in June.CoreLogic's House Price Index fell 0.5% … 더보기

Long-term Plan adopted by councillors secures…

댓글 0 | 조회 321 | 2024.06.29
Auckland Council’s Long-term Plan 2024-2034, adopted by Governing Body on Thursday (27 June 2024), is geared at sustainably managing regional growth a… 더보기

Focus on youth wellbeing more urgent than eve…

댓글 0 | 조회 465 | 2024.06.27
More evidence of the state of New Zealand youth mental health -Youth and rangatahi wellbeing and access to services assessment- has been released toda… 더보기

Insights from the field: 10 things to know ab…

댓글 0 | 조회 316 | 2024.06.26
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistRegulatory change is a huge theme for housing at present, so in this environment CoreLogic's … 더보기

Persistent market challenges, despite easing …

댓글 0 | 조회 536 | 2024.06.20
As New Zealand's property market shows a modest recovery in sales volumes, the broader picture indicates activity remains subdued, with listings at el… 더보기

GDP increases 0.2 percent in the March 2024 q…

댓글 0 | 조회 374 | 2024.06.20
New Zealand’s gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2 percent in the March 2024 quarter, following a 0.1 percent decrease in the December 2023 quarter, … 더보기

NZIER cost of alcohol harms in New Zealand es…

댓글 0 | 조회 520 | 2024.06.19
Alcohol Healthwatch welcomes NZIER costs of alcohol harms in New Zealand report released yesterday.The report commissioned by the Ministry of Health e… 더보기

Property market recovery is losing steam

댓글 0 | 조회 492 | 2024.06.14
Falling property values across a growing number of New Zealand suburbs over the past three months highlights an emerging dip in market momentum.CoreLo… 더보기

Auckland leads slowdown, as national prices d…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,141 | 2024.06.06
Home value growth in Aotearoa New Zealand has completely petered out in the past two months, with values dipping by 0.2% in May, after a minor 0.1% fa… 더보기

Applications open for 2024 Asia business inte…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,271 | 2024.06.05
The Asia New Zealand Foundation Te Whītau Tūhono is offering New Zealand tertiary students and recent graduates a chance to undertake internships with… 더보기

10 things to know about the mortgage market r…

댓글 0 | 조회 719 | 2024.05.28
Given the scrapping of first home grants (deposit assistance) and also the strong indication from the latest Monetary Policy Statement that mortgage r… 더보기

Reserve Bank sticks firmly to the script

댓글 0 | 조회 558 | 2024.05.23
Today's decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.5% was no surprise. As also expected, … 더보기