Home values continue to strengthen, slowly but surely

Home values continue to strengthen, slowly but surely

0 개 964 KoreaPost

The housing market's slow but steady recovery continues, with all bar one of Aotearoa New Zealand's main centres recording an average rise in home value this quarter.

The latest QV House Price Index for January 2024 shows the average home increased in value nationally by 2% this quarter to $925,461, representing a faster rate of growth than in the three months to the end of December, but still slightly slower than in October and November. The national average value is now just 1% less than at the same time last year.




Only Invercargill (-0.6%) posted a small average home value reduction this quarter, following six consecutive months of growth. Otherwise 10 of the 16 main urban areas we monitor recorded more growth in this index than in the last one, with Queenstown (4.4%), Christchurch (3.4%), and Dunedin (3.1%) experiencing the largest gains on average this quarter.

QV operations manager James Wilson said the housing data continued to be volatile in some areas of the country where a relatively low number of sales had still been occurring. "It doesn't take much change in activity to increase or decrease the value performance of some of our less populous regions, but the overall trend is the housing market is slowly but surely strengthening."

"Over the last few months there's been a pretty major shift in mindset. Many prospective buyers are now thinking that things can only get a bit better this year when interest rates eventually reduce and interest deductibility is reintroduced for investors, so they've been cautiously returning to the market in slowly increasing numbers, trying to get ahead of any further price rises," Mr Wilson said. 

He said widespread predictions of a possible drop in shorter term mortgage rates later in the year and only a small recent rise in unemployment would likely reinforce this perception. "You can't underestimate how powerful a shift in the prevailing mindset can be. Confidence is rising, even as financial and economic pressures are continuing as they have been for some time."

"After a brief stalling in home value growth over the holiday period, it looks increasingly likely that residential property values in New Zealand will broadly continue to follow the same trend they left off in October and November last year, with slow but steady growth overall, as well as a likely uptick in activity throughout February and into March."

"Outside of our largest cities, I expect that we'll still see some fluctuations from month to month, with patchy, often variable growth – especially where continued high immigration is less of a factor and activity is low – but once again the overall picture is of a slowly strengthening housing market," Mr Wilson concluded. 


44bf781eb10fa5bc9f3aa2255a2fde68_1707765247_7447.jpg

Download a high resolution version of the latest QV value map here.

Northland

Home value growth has remained relatively steady across the wider Northland region.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the region's average home value increased by 2.7% to $741,535 in the three months to the end of January 2024. It's a small increase in our rolling three-month average from 2.3% at the end of December.

At the district level, the average home value in the Far North increased by 4% to $706,200. Whangarei experienced half as much growth at 2% for the quarter – the average home value is now $738,671 – and Kaipara wasn't far behind with the average home increasing by 2.2% to $851,686.


 


Auckland

Auckland's residential property market continues to slowly strengthen.

The average home value has increased by 1.1% to $1,291,387 throughout the January quarter – down on the 1.9% quarterly growth recorded back in December. The largest gains have occurred on the North Shore (2.7%) and in Manukau (2.1%).

The Super City's average home value is still 2.2% lower than the same time last year. 

Local QV registered valuer Hugh Robson commented: "Sales volumes and home value growth is somewhat down on the November and pre-Christmas period, as is typically the case at this time of year, but the market remains buoyant and its slow-but-steady recovery is ongoing.

"We should see a steady increase in activity throughout February and March. In the meantime, well located and tidy homes are continuing to attract strong interest."

Tauranga

Tauranga's average rate of home value growth has slowed this quarter. 

The city's average home value increased by 2.2% to $1,028,042 in the January quarter, down from the 3.3% growth reported for the December quarter. The average value is still 2.5% less than the same time last year.

Local QV registered valuer Meghan Crowe commented: "The start of the year has started off slower than expected. However, it's still being predicted that we'll see an uptick in sales volume and values over the next 6-12 months, if interest rates lower."

Waikato

Home values continue to slowly build back up in Hamilton.

The city's average residential property value increased by 1.8% to $789,770 – a slight increase from the 1.1% quarterly growth reported in our previous QV House Price Index – but remains 2.2% less than at the same time last year. 

Local QV property consultant Marshall Wu commented: "The housing market has started the year with a similar trend to where it left off in 2023, with values generally trending higher and recovering from the downturn. Despite ongoing cost of living pressures, high-interest rates, low consumer sentiment, and affordability constraints, homes are still selling." 

"Housing demand has been increased by high migration. The tight rental market has likely incentivised renters to transition towards homeownership if they can afford it," he added.

Meanwhile, the regional market has also continued to strengthen on average this quarter – most notably in Waikato District (3.2%) and in South Waikato (2.8%). 

Taranaki

Home values have risen across the Taranaki region this quarter.

The largest quarterly increase was in New Plymouth, where the average home value increased by 2.6% to $715,862. But South Taranaki and Stratford weren't far behind, with values also increasing by averages of 2.1% and 1.4% respectively since the end of October. 

Hawke's Bay

Both Napier and Hastings have kicked off 2024 with a small amount of home value growth.

Napier's average home value increased by 0.9% in January and 1.9% this quarter to reach $760,471. That figure is 2.1% less than the same time last year. 

Hasting's average home value also increased by 0.5% in January and 2.5% this quarter to reach $796,561. That figure is 0.6% higher than the same time last year.

Palmerston North

Home values continue to gently rise in Palmerston North.

Residential property values have risen across the city by an average of 1.5% this quarter – down on the 2.4% quarterly growth reported in our previous QV House Price Index – with the average home value now sitting at precisely $645,273.

Local QV registered valuer Olivia Betts commented: "The overall statistics have continued to show a steady upward movement pattern since mid-2023. This has come after a significant drop in house prices. Over the past 12 months we are also now seeing a slight increase."

"Interest rates have been more stable over the last three to six months, which provides a level of assurance to purchasers. Affordability is still a significant concern though," she added.

Wellington

The Wellington region continues to experience relatively steady home value growth, with one exception this quarter.

The average home value increased across the wider region by 2.8% throughout the three months to the end of January 2024, with all local districts bar Porirua (-0.2%) recording upward growth. Hutt City and Kapiti Coast recorded the largest quarterly home value gains on average at 3.8% and 3.5% respectively.




Local QV registered valuer Blake Ngarimu said the average home value across the region was now just 0.2% lower than at the same time last year.

"The market is still currently dominated by first-home buyers trying to get into the market before values increase any further, which means they are having to take on higher interest rates in the meantime. Listings have also significantly increased across the region, which is also likely to put a damper on major value growth, with prospective buyers having more options to choose from."

"Though interest rates appear to have peaked, we're unlikely to see any major home value increase until interest rates start to ease, which is speculated to be towards the end of 2024," Mr Ngarimu added. 

Nelson

Nelson recorded a modest increase in average home value this quarter. 

The city's average home value increased by 0.4% in the January quarter – down from the 1.5% quarterly home value growth recorded in the previous QV House Price Index – with the average value now sitting at $774,435. That figure is now 3.4% lower than at the same time last year. 

QV Nelson/Marlborough manager Craig Russell commented: "We are seeing a continuation from the trend that emerged near the end of last year, with the market stabilising and increasing market optimism. Open homes continue to attract good numbers – particularly for properties under the $800,000 mark – but interest rates continue to be a major barrier for many purchasers."

West Coast

Home values continue to strengthen at a relatively rapid rate on the West Coast.

There continues to be heightened volatility in the local QV House Price Index data due to relatively low sales volumes, with the average value of a home in Grey District increasing by 7.4% throughout the January quarter to $410,715.

In nearby Buller ($353,584) and Westland ($433,305), the quarterly rate of home value growth has been slower at 4.3% and 3.3% respectively, but this is still well above the national average of 2% growth for the quarter. 

Canterbury

Value levels have increased across much of the Canterbury region.

The QV House Price Index shows residential property values have increased across the overall Canterbury region by 1.9% for the 12 months ending January 2024. This is an increase from the 0.2% growth shown for the 12-month period ending December 2023.

January's quarterly figures show the region's average home value increased by 2.9%. This is a small increase on the 2.3% growth recorded in the previous index, with all districts experiencing positive growth, except Mackenzie.

In Christchurch, the average home value increase was 3.4% this quarter, which is a sizeable increase on the 2.5% quarterly growth reported in the previous QV index. The average home value is now $765,104, which is 2.1% higher than the same time last year.

The wider Christchurch region also experienced positive growth this quarter, with the average value in the Waimakariri and Selwyn districts increasing by 1.6% to $711,750 and 2% to $838,606 respectively.

Local QV registered valuer Rod Thornton commented: "With regards to Christchurch and surrounding districts the latest quarterly index figures are positive and reflect the latter months of 2023, when we saw a general trend of increased buyer interest and value increases following a slowdown of the market and easing of values around late 2022 and early 2023."

"What the next few months will bring is unknown. However, the market since Christmas still appears to be in a positive mode despite higher interest rates and cost of living concerns still being present."

Otago

Dunedin's average home value has increased for the fifth straight month.

The latest QV House Price Index shows the value of the average home in the city increased by 3.1% to $633,474 this quarter, including by 1% in January. The average home value is now just 0.9% lower than at the same time last year. 

Home value levels have also increased across the wider Otago region by an average of 3.9% for the January quarter – a small increase on the 3.3% quarterly growth reported back in December. Just Dunedin is showing negative growth on an annual basis, with Waitaki (1.8%), Central Otago (4.2%), and Clutha (1.5%) all in the black.

Local QV registered valuer Rebecca Johnston commented: "Local real estate agents have noted that people are looking to relocate to areas such as Taieri Mouth due to its desirability and coastal appeal. The smaller provincial towns have seen less interest – although there is a current shortage of rental accommodation due to seasonal work and fixed term rental agreements."

"Demand has continued to be strong in the Catlins Coastal areas and smaller coastal settlements east of Milton," she added. 

Queenstown

Residential property values are up once more in Queenstown.

The average home value increased by 4.4% to $1,807,282 throughout the January quarter – an increase on the 3% quarterly increase reported at the end of December 2023.

Queenstown's average annual rate of home value growth is currently 7%. 

Invercargill

Invercargill recorded a small reduction this quarter.

The city's average home value reduced by 0.6% to $466,898 throughout the three months to the end of January 2024. 

"This quarterly decrease follows six monthly increases in a row and may be an anomaly due to the Christmas holiday break," said QV registered valuer Andrew Ronald.

"There is still much less demand now compared to early in 2022, especially for properties within the $600,000 to $1,000,000 range. While there is still healthy demand from first-home buyers, only a limited number of investors are currently active in the market – although this is expected to change with the restoration of interest tax deductibility rules."

Source: QV

Business as usual for cash rate and housing m…

댓글 0 | 조회 485 | 2024.04.10
Commentary by CoreLogic NZ Chief Property Economist, Kelvin DavidsonToday's decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official c… 더보기

Residential recovery sluggish in first quarte…

댓글 0 | 조회 594 | 2024.04.09
Residential property values have continued to gently rise and fall throughout the first quarter of 2024, amidst a glut of listings and an ongoing dear… 더보기

Soft start for NZ housing market in March qua…

댓글 0 | 조회 923 | 2024.04.04
CoreLogic's House Price Index rose 0.5% in March, similar to January and February's muted gains, taking values 1.1% higher over the first quarter of 2… 더보기

The new-build premium could be about to shrin…

댓글 0 | 조회 543 | 2024.03.30
We estimate that new-builds are currently running about 6% more expensive than existing properties, which is in line with past norms. Given they’re th… 더보기

STARS OF TV AND SYMPHONY ALIGN FOR CHILDREN’S…

댓글 0 | 조회 567 | 2024.03.19
Howls of What's the time Mr Wolf will echo across Auckland this April as TVNZ’sToi Timecast join the Auckland Philharmonia to perform the children's c… 더보기

Housing recovery spreads to nearly 60% of NZ …

댓글 0 | 조회 829 | 2024.03.14
Property values rose in almost three-fifths (58.7%) of New Zealand suburbs over the past three months, illustrating the slow and steady spread of the … 더보기

Annual growth back in black despite flat Febr…

댓글 0 | 조회 634 | 2024.03.12
Property values are slightly higher on average annually for the first time since August 2022.This comes despite the latest QV House Price Index for Fe… 더보기

No OCR change... for now

댓글 0 | 조회 934 | 2024.02.28
Today's decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.5% may have been a close call, with qu… 더보기

Construction cost growth continuing to cool

댓글 0 | 조회 550 | 2024.02.28
The average cost of building a home in New Zealand Aotearoa’s main centres has increased by 0.3% this quarter and 5.2% since February 2023.This is in … 더보기

Property sale volumes remain erratic

댓글 0 | 조회 844 | 2024.02.20
High mortgage rates continue to pressure the housing market, contributing to patchy volumes month to month, and January sales activity reaching itFigu… 더보기
Now

현재 Home values continue to strengthen, slowly bu…

댓글 0 | 조회 965 | 2024.02.13
The housing market's slow but steady recovery continues, with all bar one of Aotearoa New Zealand's main centres recording an average rise in home val… 더보기

Profitable resales rise for the first time in…

댓글 0 | 조회 848 | 2024.02.08
93.3% of property resales made a gross profit in Q4 2023, up from 92.4% in Q3.The median gain on profitable resales rose by $8k to $305,000.Hold perio… 더보기

MetService launches push notifications for Ne…

댓글 0 | 조회 809 | 2024.01.25
From today 25 January, Kiwis will be able to subscribe to receive notifications to their mobile phone when MetService issues a Red Warning for our mos… 더보기

Property market signs off 2023 on a strong no…

댓글 0 | 조회 759 | 2024.01.17
The CoreLogic House Price Index showed the third consecutive rise in average property values in December, with momentum building.After October's 0.4% … 더보기

Heat comes out of the construction sector as …

댓글 0 | 조회 640 | 2024.01.11
As pressures on residential construction supply chains and capacity ease, annual growth in construction costs has reduced to the lowest level in aroun… 더보기

What the shortened Brightline test means for …

댓글 0 | 조회 763 | 2023.12.21
Following the Government’s announcement that they will shorten the Brightline test back to two years for all properties from 1stJuly 2024, CoreLogic C… 더보기

Housing upturn broadens, but underwhelming 20…

댓글 0 | 조회 979 | 2023.12.20
TheCoreLogic NZ December Housing Chart Packshows that national property values rose by 0.7% in November, marking the second monthly increase as the re… 더보기

Slow recovery to be continued in 2024

댓글 0 | 조회 724 | 2023.12.19
The housing market continues to strengthen into the festive season–but a slow recovery throughout 2024 is expected.The national average home value is … 더보기

New Zealanders' Standard of Living in Freefal…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,180 | 2023.12.14
Responding to today’s release of the Q3 2023 GDP figures, Taxpayers’ Union Policy Adviser, James Ross, said:“New Zealanders have years of economic mis… 더보기

A turning point for the NZ housing market

댓글 0 | 조회 904 | 2023.12.13
A 'year of two halves' aptly describes the country's property market performance in 2023, where declining sale volumes and house prices characterised … 더보기

10 things to know about mortgage debt right n…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,450 | 2023.12.06
The housing loan market has been relatively subdued over the past 12-18 months, alongside a downturn in sales volumes and property prices. But there a… 더보기

Home values rise 0.7% in November

댓글 0 | 조회 1,383 | 2023.12.01
Hot on the heels of October's 0.4% rise in property values, the CoreLogic House Price Index shows another rise in November, of 0.7%.The net result is … 더보기

Mayor’s proposal to make public transport fas…

댓글 0 | 조회 713 | 2023.11.30
Mayor Wayne Brown is proposing that Aucklanders pay no more than $50 a week on public transport, including bus, rail, and inner harbour ferry services… 더보기

Cost of building a home increases by 4.9% ann…

댓글 0 | 조회 779 | 2023.11.30
The average cost of building a home in Aotearoa New Zealand’s main centres has increased by less than half as much as last year.QV CostBuilder is New … 더보기

An OCR decision of words not actions

댓글 0 | 조회 759 | 2023.11.29
By Kelvin Davidson, Chief Property Economist, CoreLogic New ZealandToday’s decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official … 더보기

New Zealand rents surge 6.1% in the past year

댓글 0 | 조회 1,405 | 2023.11.23
Rental growth is running at historically high levels, hitting 6.1% in the year to October, roughly double the long-term average growth rate of 3.2%,Co… 더보기

New Zealand's Most Beautiful Towns and Cities…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,121 | 2023.11.10
Iconic Kiwi charity Keep New Zealand Beautiful have announced the winners of their Beautiful Awards 2023, including New Zealand's most beautiful towns… 더보기

House prices begin to rise, but recovery set …

댓글 0 | 조회 1,178 | 2023.11.01
fter remaining flat in September, CoreLogic’s national House Price Index (HPI) posted the first rise in property values since March 2022, up 0.4% in O… 더보기

More than 67,000 Kiwis take part in New Zeala…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,900 | 2023.10.26
Iconic Kiwi charity Keep New Zealand Beautiful (KNZB) is excited to announce the impact made during Clean Up Week 2023.Clean Up Week, which is New Zea… 더보기

Construction enters subdued era as annual cos…

댓글 0 | 조회 779 | 2023.10.12
The New Zealand residential construction industry continues to soften due to a decline in new building consents and workloads.The latestCordell Constr… 더보기

nib survey finds parental concern for kids’ m…

댓글 0 | 조회 738 | 2023.10.10
More than half of Kiwi parents (57%) are concerned about the current state of their children’s mental health, a trend that’s steadily increased since … 더보기

NZ places 218 out of 237 countries when compa…

댓글 0 | 조회 644 | 2023.10.06
Auckland, New Zealand - Mobile Compare (www.mobilecompare.co.nz), New Zealand's leading mobile plan comparison website, experienced an unprecedented s… 더보기

No OCR rise today, but future odds still seem…

댓글 0 | 조회 957 | 2023.10.04
Commentary by CoreLogic NZ Chief Property Economist, Kelvin DavidsonToday’s decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official… 더보기

National property values flatten as Auckland …

댓글 0 | 조회 1,911 | 2023.10.04
Property values across Aotearoa New Zealand flat-lined in September, most likely ending the 17-month downturn, the CoreLogic House Price Index (HPI) s… 더보기

Fake company lands wage subsidy fraudster in …

댓글 0 | 조회 979 | 2023.10.03
A man has been sent to jail for more than two years after he created a company to defraud taxpayers of more than $120,000 through the COVID-19 Wage Su… 더보기

Mortgage lending flows rise for the first tim…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,240 | 2023.09.27
By CoreLogic NZ Chief Property Economist, Kelvin DavidsonMortgage lending activity was higher in August than a year ago – the first annual rise for ab… 더보기

Rising sales and low new listings will tighte…

댓글 0 | 조회 883 | 2023.09.19
As property transactions continue to rise against a backdrop of still-low new listings hitting the market, sellers may slowly gain an upper hand as av… 더보기

Property prices rise in 30% of NZ suburbs sin…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,564 | 2023.09.15
Signs of a turning point in Aotearoa New Zealand’s property market are on the rise as a growing number of suburbs record an increase in home values ov… 더보기

AT HOP Technical Outage

댓글 0 | 조회 1,067 | 2023.09.14
AT is currently experiencing issues with its AT HOP services. During this period, you can continue to catch buses, trains and ferries. You should stil… 더보기

National/ACT could form government comfortabl…

댓글 0 | 조회 713 | 2023.09.08
NEW POLL: National/ACT could form government comfortably - thanks largely to NZ First slipping below the 5 percent thresholdNational increases 0.1 poi… 더보기

Three things to know about a National governm…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,225 | 2023.09.06
By CoreLogic NZ Chief Property Economist, Kelvin Davidson·A shorter Brightline Test may entice investment buyers, but probably also some sellers who w… 더보기

Fake employees used in wage subsidy fraud

댓글 0 | 조회 1,317 | 2023.08.31
Two people have been sentenced for a wage subsidy fraud that involved listing fake employees on the application forms.Abbey Raroa and Te Rangihaeta Te… 더보기

NEW POLL: National Lead in Ilam Electorate

댓글 0 | 조회 654 | 2023.08.29
A new Taxpayers’ Union – Curia poll in the Ilam Electorate has National reclaiming their former Christchurch stronghold comfortably, with 33% of the e… 더보기

Kiwis still spending half of household income…

댓글 0 | 조회 853 | 2023.08.22
Housing affordability in Aotearoa New Zealand has generally been improving as property values fall, incomes rise and interest rates stabilise, however… 더보기

Reserve Bank is still in 'wait and see' mode

댓글 0 | 조회 968 | 2023.08.16
Commentary by CoreLogic NZ Chief Property Economist, Kelvin DavidsonToday's decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official… 더보기

Upcoming Fibre Broadband Cost Hikes for Most …

댓글 0 | 조회 1,063 | 2023.08.13
NZ Compare Exposes Rising Fibre Broadband Prices for Majority of KiwisKiwi Consumers Pay Over the Odds for LoyaltySparkandOne NZamongst NZ providers r… 더보기

Food prices increase 9.6 percent annually

댓글 0 | 조회 944 | 2023.08.12
Annual food prices were 9.6 percent higher in July 2023 than in July 2022, according to figures released by Stats NZ today.“While overall food inflati… 더보기

Labour crashes and Winston's back

댓글 0 | 조회 964 | 2023.08.11
National increases 1.6 points on last month to 34.9% while Labour drops 4.0 points to 27.1%. ACT is down 0.2 points to 13.0% while the Greens are up 3… 더보기

NZ property resale gains fall to lowest level…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,319 | 2023.08.10
The frequency of NZ property owners reselling for a profit has fallen again, as the country’s housing market downturn flows through tosofter resale re… 더보기

Final stages for NZ property downturn as hous…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,703 | 2023.08.02
Falls in national property values continued to moderate in July, and with the latest data showing increases in some parts of the country, it all but c… 더보기