Home values rise in November quarter − but only just

Home values rise in November quarter − but only just

0 개 750 KoreaPost

The housing market is on track for its flattest calendar year in more than a decade, despite a modicum of growth this quarter.

The latest QV House Price Index shows home values grew nationally by an average of 0.3% in the November quarter – the first quarterly increase since April. The average home is now worth $908,173, which is 0.7% less than at the same time last year and 14.6% below the market's peak just over three years ago.



Among New Zealand's main urban centres, Auckland (0.5%), Hamilton (1.2%), Napier (0.9%), Christchurch (0.3%) and Dunedin (0.7%) all recorded modest quarterly home value increases for the first time in months. The average rate of reduction also slowed this quarter in Tauranga (-1%) and Wellington (-0.9%).

"Time will tell whether or not we're finally witnessing the modest beginnings of the housing market's long-awaited rebound or whether this is just another small bump in what has been a remarkably bumpy road in recent years," said QV operations manager James Wilson.

"Interest rate reductions have certainly paved the way for a general uplift in activity and market sentiment across much of the country. We're now seeing significantly more Kiwis at open homes and in auction rooms, which has largely stemmed what was, for the most part, a slow reduction in property values throughout winter. But with such a large supply of homes for sale, demand isn't yet converting into significant price pressure.

"We did see an overall increase in property values around the same time last year too, which petered out as interest rates, the increased cost of living, rising unemployment and slowing migration took hold once more. These are still pretty major factors today and will also continue to play a pivotal role in hampering any significant home value growth as we move into 2025, even as mortgage rate relief finally sets in."

Despite this modicum of growth in the November quarter, the average home in Aotearoa is now worth just 0.3% more than at the start of this calendar year. "With December's figures still to be accounted for, the housing market looks to be on track for its flattest calendar year in more than a decade," said Mr Wilson.

"Looking ahead, there's still very little to suggest that house prices will suddenly take off any time soon, with supply far outweighing demand. There are still buyers waiting in the wings for economic conditions to improve and for interest rates to drop further. It looks like they may get their wish in 2025 but it could still be a while yet, and any growth in the meantime is expected to be moderate at best."

3734708104_mdqhv3as_1f940d88db0f4043ccb36d067156ae1497409a26.jpg
Download a high resolution version of the latest QV value map here.

Northland

Home values went up by an average of 1.1% this quarter in Northland.

The average value increased 3.7% to $702,886 in the Far North, and by 0.6% to $822,358 in Kaipara. Whangarei, on the other hand, experienced a small decrease of 0.3% to $718,786.

However, values are still 1.6% lower on average across the wider region than they were at the start of 2024. 

Auckland

Auckland has just recorded its first positive quarter since January, albeit a modest one.

Our latest QV House Price Index shows Auckland's average residential property value increased by 0.5% to $1,238,682, including by 0.8% last month alone. It follows nine straight months of negative home value growth. 

Just two of the Super City's former local council areas recorded minor reductions this quarter – Waitakere (-0.3%) and Auckland City (-0.4%) – with North Shore (1.7%) and Papakura (1.1%) recording the largest average gains.

However, values still remain 3.7% lower on average across the region than at the start of 2024, with only December's figures still to come. 

"Auckland saw a slight increase in activity during November, with sales volumes increasing in most areas," said local QV registered valuer Hugh Robson. "First-home buyers remain particularly active, with quite a few new townhouse sales."

"December is always hard to predict with Christmas and holidays looming. Looking further ahead though, lots of new developments have just started, so it seems as though developers must be feeling reasonably confident, with more OCR cuts predicted throughout 2025." 

Tauranga

Tauranga has experienced a slight rebound after five months of slow decline.

The city's average home value experienced a modest monthly increase of 0.2% to $1,005,306 in November. However, the average home value is still 1% lower for the quarter – a slight improvement on the 1.6% quarterly decline recorded in October.

On average, a home in Tauranga is now worth 2.9% less than at the start of 2024.

Waikato

It's been an up-and-down year for Hamilton's residential property market.

The latest QV House Price Index shows values have risen by an average of 1.2% this quarter – the city's first quarterly growth since February. However, the average home value in Hamilton still remains 0.2% lower than at the start of 2024 at $783,681.

Local QV property consultant Marshall Wu said the housing market had shown modest improvement compared to a few months ago. "This has been driven by recent interest rate cuts, controlled inflation and a rebound in purchasing activity, despite high levels of advertised stock continuing to weigh the market down."

"Buyers are leveraging the current conditions but they remain cautious. Many are anticipating further interest rate cuts over the next six months to avoid higher borrowing costs," Mr Wu said. "However, uncertainties still persist, including stagnant rental growth, declining net migration, pressure on labour market and a softening economy."

"While these factors may temper market momentum, they could also provide some stability, helping to maintain a floor under property prices," he added.

Meanwhile, the regional market continues to exhibit mixed trends, with home values down on average this quarter in Hauraki (-0.5%), Otorohanga (-3.3%), South Waikato (-2.4%), and Waitomo (-4.9%) but increasing marginally everywhere else. 

Taranaki

Home values have risen across the wider Taranaki region this quarter.

New Plymouth's average home increased in value by 1% to $718,279. That figure is now 1.6% higher than at the start of 2024.

The average home value also increased by 3.7% to $488,069 in Stratford, and by 0.9% to $441,329 in South Taranaki. 

Hawke's Bay

Home values in Napier and Hastings have experienced their first positive quarter since June this year.

The latest QV House Price Index shows Napier's average home value increased by 0.9% in the November quarter to $741,880, with Hastings' average home value also increasing by 2.3% this quarter to $787,117. 

However, it remains to be seen whether these cities will finish 2024 in the black. With one month to go, the average home value is 1.6% lower in Napier than at the start of this year, and 0.7% lower in Hastings.

Residential property values in Wairoa and Central Hawke's Bay are also currently 2.4% and 0.5% lower on average respectively than at the start of 2024. 

Palmerston North

Home values remain largely flat in Palmerston North.

The city's average home increased in value by 0.1% last month to $632,036 – its second consecutive month of minimal growth – but once again it's not enough to erase a small deficit of 0.5% for the November quarter.

With one month to go, the city's average home value is now 1.6% lower than at the start of 2024.

Local QV registered valuer Olivia Betts commented: "Interest rate deductions have had a positive influence on activity within the market. But many potential buyers and investors are still taking a 'wait and see' approach letting expectations of further interest rate reductions influence their decisions."

Wairarapa

With one month to go, the average home value in the wider Wairarapa region is now 1.8% higher than at the start of 2024.

Just Carterton is showing a small deficit of 0.4% this calendar year. Its average home value reduced by just 0.1% to $626,529 in the November quarter.

Meanwhile, the average home value increased by 0.1% to $573,920 in Masterton this quarter, and by 3.5% to $770,596 in South Wairarapa. Values in these districts are now 2.1% and 2.3% higher respectively than at the start of 2024.

Wellington

Home values continue to level out in Wellington, even as economic headwinds continue to buffet the capital. 

Our latest QV House Price Index shows the region's average home value reduced by just 0.9% to $838,539 throughout the November 2024 quarter – compared to a 2.3% average decline in the three months to the end of October, and 3.2% in the three months to the end of September.

Hutt City even recorded its first positive quarter since March, albeit a minimal one. Its average home value increased by just 0.1% to $763,839. Otherwise, Upper Hutt (-2.5%) experienced the largest quarterly decline, and Porirua (-0.1%) experienced the smallest.

With one month to go, the average home value in the Wellington region is now 2.3% lower than at the start of 2024.

Local QV senior consultant David Cornford said home value declines had begun to peter out in recent months as a result of lower interest rates. "There appears to have been an uptick in market activity over the last few weeks, but this is yet to translate into value growth." 

"The labour market in the capital continues to have its challenges, and as such we're seeing a general caution in the property market. We also expect that relatively high stock levels will continue and likely build in the new year, having a dampening effect on value growth."

Nelson

Residential property values have risen slightly in consecutive months in Nelson. 

The city's average home value increased by 0.2% to $780,689 this quarter, including by just 0.1% in the month of November itself.

With one month of 2024 still to be accounted for, the average Nelson home is worth 0.5% more than at the start of this calendar year. 

QV Nelson/Marlborough manager Craig Russell commented: "It seems like market confidence has improved following recent OCR cuts. We've seen increased activity over the past month with multi-offers being reported for entry-level properties."

He said inventory levels remained high with a number of properties available for sale across the region. "Properties that are not being accurately priced are sitting on the market for an extended period with price reductions common," he added.

However, Mr Russell noted there was currently a shortage of modern homes for sale in Nelson. "Purchasers have been increasingly looking to buy in the Tasman District, which typically has newer stock available," he added.

West Coast

Home values on the West Coast have outperformed every other region in 2024.

Although low sales volumes are still causing home value statistics to fluctuate from month to month and quarter to quarter on the West Coast, our latest QV House Price Index shows that values have risen considerably more here on average than anywhere else this year. 

In Buller, the average home value has increased by 12.4% to $388,392 in the 11 months to the end of November. In Grey, the average home value has climbed 14.8% so far this calendar year to $446,154, and it has increased by 6.3% to $469,285 over the same period in Westland.

This compares to the national average home value increasing by just 0.3% to $908,173 so far this calendar year. 

Canterbury

Christchurch has just recorded its first positive quarter since May, following consecutive months of modest growth.

Our QV House Price Index for November 2024 shows a 0.3% quarterly uplift with the average home value in the Garden City now sitting at $763,183. That figure is 1.4% higher than at the outset of this calendar year.

QV senior consultant Olivia Brownie noted the average value level was now back at roughly the same level as it was three years ago. "As the economy continues to adjust, and with a further lowering of interest rates, we may see more confidence in owner-occupiers next year, alongside an uptick in activity from first-home buyers and investors," she said.  

"Yet with such a high number of listings available on the market, the introduction of debt-to-income ratio rules and a tightening labour market, we expect any growth to be measured."

Meanwhile, the average home value in the Waimakariri District decreased by 0.1% to $709,040, and the average home value in Selwyn increased by 0.9% to $840,480. Hurunui's average value increased by a relatively robust 2.8% to $649,126.

Across the wider Canterbury region, home values also reduced by 0.8% this quarter in Ashburton and by 0.1% in Timaru. 

Otago

Dunedin has experienced its first quarterly uplift in average home value since June.

The city's average home value has grown 0.7% to $643,391 in the three months to the end of November 2024 – an improvement on the small 0.1% average reduction recorded for the three months to the end of October 2024. 

With one month of 2024 still to be accounted for, the average home value in Dunedin is now 2.6% more than it was at the outset of this calendar year.

Local QV registered valuer Rebecca Johnston commented: "We're seeing stable, albeit minimal, growth across the Dunedin market. The factors at play right now include a combination of job insecurity, rising unemployment, many buyers still being on higher fixed rates, and a significantly high number of properties available on the market," she added. 

Meanwhile, home values were up across the wider Otago region by an average of 0.5% this quarter, with Queenstown (-0.4%) being the only local council area to see a small reduction in our latest figures.

Queenstown

Queenstown's average home value reduced by 0.4% in the November quarter to $1,828,811.

With one month of 2024 still to be accounted for, the average home value is now 2.9% higher than on the first day of this year. 

Invercargill

Invercargill's average home value has bounced back up 2% in the November quarter, following a slight 0.4% reduction in the October quarter.

At $490,286, the average home value in New Zealand's southernmost city is now 2.7% higher than it was at the start of 2024, with December's QV House Price Index figures still to come next month. 

Local QV registered valuer Andrew Ronald noted the city's average home value had grown by 3.6% in the 12 months to the end of November 2024.

"There is still steady demand from first-home buyers and investors are beginning to return to the market with the restoration of interest tax deductibility rules. Agents are reporting strong interest for properties under $600,000 and multiple offers are common. This is likely to flow through to strengthening value levels over the next few months."


Source: QV

Conflicting forces to shape New Zealand's pro…

댓글 0 | 조회 409 | 4일전
New Zealand's property market is approaching 2025 with a mix of challenges and opportunities, as lower mortgage rates contend with stretched affordabi… 더보기
Now

현재 Home values rise in November quarter − but on…

댓글 0 | 조회 751 | 2024.12.10
The housing market is on track for its flattest calendar year in more than a decade, despite a modicum of growth this quarter.The latest QV House Pric… 더보기

'Holding pattern' continues for property valu…

댓글 0 | 조회 250 | 2024.12.05
Property values in Aotearoa New Zealand fell 0.4% in November, marking the ninth consecutive decline, according to CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Inde… 더보기

Lower Waihao Nitrate Update - CEASE WATER CON…

댓글 0 | 조회 148 | 2024.12.02
Nitrates levels within Lower Waihao Rural Water Supply (inc. Waikakahi East) have breached the maximum accepted value (MAV) for nitrates. All consumer… 더보기

Desert Road closure now from mid-January

댓글 0 | 조회 262 | 2024.11.29
State Highway 1 Tūrangi to Waiouru – including the Desert Road – will be closed for vital road rebuilding and repairs for around 2 months from Monday … 더보기

OCR cut again and more to come

댓글 0 | 조회 1,137 | 2024.11.27
Commentary from Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistThe financial markets and bank economists were unanimous in expecting the Reserv… 더보기

Youth vaping rates drop, but 'cannot take our…

댓글 0 | 조회 267 | 2024.11.25
Overall youth vaping rates in New Zealand have dropped more than 50 per cent over the past three years, a new survey shows.The 2024 ARFNZ/SPANZ/NZAIMS… 더보기

Report shows challenging future for children …

댓글 0 | 조회 398 | 2024.11.22
The future of childhood hangs in the balance for millions of children if urgent action is not taken now to safeguard their rights in a changing world,… 더보기

Farmers Santa Parade, supported by the city c…

댓글 0 | 조회 648 | 2024.11.22
Two symbolic characters at the centre of Auckland’s historic Farmers Santa Parade are turning out for the 91st time, delighting families who will fill… 더보기

Investors on the rebound and first home buyer…

댓글 0 | 조회 580 | 2024.11.21
New Zealand's property market continues to present mixed signals, with sales volumes rising yet the overall level of activity remaining subdued, with … 더보기

NZ Compare Awards 2024 Finalists Announced

댓글 0 | 조회 317 | 2024.11.20
The NZ Compare Awards 2024 are here, and last night, our star-studded finalists were announced at our Finalists Event - an event of connecting and cel… 더보기

More property sellers face losses amidst weak…

댓글 0 | 조회 826 | 2024.11.14
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistNew Zealand's property market remains subdued, with a rising share of sellers incurring losse… 더보기

99,000 children in persistent poverty

댓글 0 | 조회 556 | 2024.11.12
98,900 children in Aotearoa New Zealand are living in persistent poverty. This is according to thenewly released official Statistics NZ definitionfor … 더보기

First Home Buyers capitalise on soft market

댓글 0 | 조회 607 | 2024.11.07
First home buyers (FHBs) remain a key presence in the property market, consistently accounting for more than one quarter (27%) of purchases, comfortab… 더보기

Slowing rate of decline signals potential val…

댓글 0 | 조회 664 | 2024.11.01
Property values in New Zealand fell -0.5% in October according to CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Index (HVI) - the eighth drop in a row - taking the t… 더보기

Investors take a fresh look at the NZ propert…

댓글 0 | 조회 723 | 2024.10.24
Mortgaged multiple property owners (MPOs) remain less active than usual, but there are early signs that some are starting to return – a signal that 'm… 더보기

NZ construction costs show minor uptick amids…

댓글 0 | 조회 511 | 2024.10.16
Tax changes, high levels of existing stock on the market, and credit-constrained buyers have compounded the building industry slowdown, holding constr… 더보기

OCR down again as mortgage rates set to keep …

댓글 0 | 조회 822 | 2024.10.09
Commentary from Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistLeading up to today's official cash rate decision, there were equally strong cas… 더보기

Spring marks subtle shift in market condition…

댓글 0 | 조회 315 | 2024.10.08
Spring has sprung, but green shoots of growth remain scarce across New Zealand Aotearoa's housing market – for the time being.Our latest QV House Pric… 더보기

Rate cuts haven't pumped up house prices yet

댓글 0 | 조회 455 | 2024.10.03
CoreLogic's hedonic Home Value Index (HVI) showed another subdued month for the property market in September,with values down by a further 0.5%. That … 더보기

Minister of Health announcement on Fetal Alco…

댓글 0 | 조회 580 | 2024.09.26
The Minister of Health Hon Dr Shane Retiaddressedthe FASD Symposium in Auckland today and announced a further $4.85 million dollar investment in the F… 더보기

Where are Aotearoa NZ's $1 million+ housing m…

댓글 0 | 조회 735 | 2024.09.25
By Nick Goodall, CoreLogic NZHead of Research$1 million isn't what it used to be when it comes to owning property. That being said the $1 million figu… 더보기

5 of the best ways to enjoy spring in Aucklan…

댓글 0 | 조회 415 | 2024.09.24
Tāmaki Makaurau is one of the first parts of Aotearoa to enjoy spring. Whether you believe that the season kicks off on the meteorological start date … 더보기

Property sales slowly rising heading into spr…

댓글 0 | 조회 496 | 2024.09.19
With the spring selling season on the horizon New Zealand property sales continue their upward trend, however buyers remain in control with sales volu… 더보기

Local alcohol policy: Freeze on new liquor st…

댓글 0 | 조회 340 | 2024.09.16
From today (Monday 16 September)24 areas,including Auckland’s city centre, will be subject to a freeze on the opening of new off-licences as Auckland’… 더보기

Property sector: New Zealand's economic power…

댓글 0 | 조회 457 | 2024.09.12
WELLINGTON, NEW ZEALAND -Property continues to hold the title of New Zealand's largest industry, according to new insights from Property Council New Z… 더보기

Housing market still flat despite interest ra…

댓글 0 | 조회 384 | 2024.09.10
House prices do not yet reflect the marked increase in consumer confidence following recent interest rate cuts.On the contrary, our latest QV House Pr… 더보기

Lower interest rates may take time to ripple …

댓글 0 | 조회 612 | 2024.09.05
CoreLogic's Home Value Index (HVI) showed that the property market remained weak in August, with values down by another 0.5%.That was the sixth consec… 더보기

Low deposit mortgages help fuel first home bu…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,269 | 2024.08.22
First home buyers (FHBs) continue to maintain near-record market share even as they battle affordability constraints, according toCoreLogic's August H… 더보기

Affordability challenges persist despite soft…

댓글 0 | 조회 399 | 2024.08.14
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistSome housing affordability metrics, such as the time needed to save a deposit, are at their l… 더보기

Frigid housing market's winter blues continue…

댓글 0 | 조회 425 | 2024.08.13
Residential property values are slowly buckling under the strain of the ongoing economic downturn, with just three of New Zealand's main urban areas r… 더보기

Resale profits decline as buyer bargaining po…

댓글 0 | 조회 322 | 2024.08.08
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistThe New Zealand property market continues to shift in favour of buyers as the proportion of p… 더보기

Rising Confidence Attracts Buyers To Auckland…

댓글 0 | 조회 700 | 2024.08.05
A significant number of buyers were drawn into the Auckland residential housing market in July attracted by growing confidence that interest rates hav… 더보기

Property values down 2.5% from cyclical peak

댓글 0 | 조회 983 | 2024.08.01
CoreLogic's updated, hedonic Home Value Index (HVI)showed a 0.5% fall in values across NZ in July - the fifth monthly fall in a row - taking the total… 더보기

New research from CPAG reveals renting is inc…

댓글 0 | 조회 737 | 2024.07.31
The Child Poverty Action Group (CPAG) is calling for better monitoring of housing stock, particularly private rentals, asnew researchreveals the share… 더보기

Average Auckland rent continues rise above 5%…

댓글 0 | 조회 712 | 2024.07.24
The average weekly rent paid in Auckland was 5.59% higher in June 2024 than one year ago, rising by $35.91 to $678.30.The statistics are drawn from mo… 더보기

Governor-General at the Paris 2024 Olympic Ga…

댓글 0 | 조회 417 | 2024.07.22
As Patron of the New Zealand Olympic Committee, the Governor-General, The Rt Hon Dame Cindy Kiro leaves New Zealand today to travel to Paris, where sh… 더보기

Sale volumes drop in June, but first home buy…

댓글 0 | 조회 681 | 2024.07.19
As high mortgage rates continue to dampen buyer demand in New Zealand's housing market, residential property sales weakened in June, after a 13-month … 더보기

Raft of policy changes unlikely to shift subd…

댓글 0 | 조회 390 | 2024.07.05
Amidst a raft of policy changes, the renewed weakness in Aotearoa New Zealand's home values continued in June.CoreLogic's House Price Index fell 0.5% … 더보기

Long-term Plan adopted by councillors secures…

댓글 0 | 조회 321 | 2024.06.29
Auckland Council’s Long-term Plan 2024-2034, adopted by Governing Body on Thursday (27 June 2024), is geared at sustainably managing regional growth a… 더보기

Focus on youth wellbeing more urgent than eve…

댓글 0 | 조회 465 | 2024.06.27
More evidence of the state of New Zealand youth mental health -Youth and rangatahi wellbeing and access to services assessment- has been released toda… 더보기

Insights from the field: 10 things to know ab…

댓글 0 | 조회 316 | 2024.06.26
By Kelvin Davidson, CoreLogic NZ Chief Property EconomistRegulatory change is a huge theme for housing at present, so in this environment CoreLogic's … 더보기

Persistent market challenges, despite easing …

댓글 0 | 조회 536 | 2024.06.20
As New Zealand's property market shows a modest recovery in sales volumes, the broader picture indicates activity remains subdued, with listings at el… 더보기

GDP increases 0.2 percent in the March 2024 q…

댓글 0 | 조회 374 | 2024.06.20
New Zealand’s gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2 percent in the March 2024 quarter, following a 0.1 percent decrease in the December 2023 quarter, … 더보기

NZIER cost of alcohol harms in New Zealand es…

댓글 0 | 조회 520 | 2024.06.19
Alcohol Healthwatch welcomes NZIER costs of alcohol harms in New Zealand report released yesterday.The report commissioned by the Ministry of Health e… 더보기

Property market recovery is losing steam

댓글 0 | 조회 492 | 2024.06.14
Falling property values across a growing number of New Zealand suburbs over the past three months highlights an emerging dip in market momentum.CoreLo… 더보기

Auckland leads slowdown, as national prices d…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,141 | 2024.06.06
Home value growth in Aotearoa New Zealand has completely petered out in the past two months, with values dipping by 0.2% in May, after a minor 0.1% fa… 더보기

Applications open for 2024 Asia business inte…

댓글 0 | 조회 1,271 | 2024.06.05
The Asia New Zealand Foundation Te Whītau Tūhono is offering New Zealand tertiary students and recent graduates a chance to undertake internships with… 더보기

10 things to know about the mortgage market r…

댓글 0 | 조회 719 | 2024.05.28
Given the scrapping of first home grants (deposit assistance) and also the strong indication from the latest Monetary Policy Statement that mortgage r… 더보기

Reserve Bank sticks firmly to the script

댓글 0 | 조회 560 | 2024.05.23
Today's decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave the official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.5% was no surprise. As also expected, … 더보기